Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Hilal SFC
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV
- Score
- 2:0
· first seen 1m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6927
6922 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.8%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−488.7u
over 6922u staked
Yield
−7.1%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 78 | 44.9%34%–56% | +0.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1404 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2504 | 60.3%58%–62% | −5.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2524 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 397 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.5pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 11 | 81.8%52%–95% | −8.8pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3819
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±115.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 144 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3788 | 58.6% | −326.1u |
| Double chance | 3139 | 67.9% | −162.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1126 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 535 | 64.7% | −36.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 363 | 60.3% | +35.7u |
| League 2 | 240 | 58.3% | −37.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 146 | 63.7% | −10.1u |
| Serie B | 142 | 59.9% | −15.5u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 106 | 54.3% | −20.6u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 106 | 64.2% | −5.9u |
| Serie A | 100 | 53.0% | −21.2u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6927 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 20m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV | 2:0 | LOST |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Richards Bay vs AmaZuluFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.10 · +34.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Al Wehdat vs Al Faisaly AmmanFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Wasl Dubai vs Khor FakkanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.30 · +5.7% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Slavia Mozyr vs VitebskFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Kyapaz vs ShamakhiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Al Qadsia Kuwait vs Al Nasr Al FarwaniyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Polissya Zhytomyr vs KudrovkaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.16 · −7.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Qabala vs ImisliFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Herentals vs Bulawayo ChiefsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Pattani vs BG Pathum UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Syuniq vs Pyunik YerevanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.19 · +3.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Libertad Loja vs EmelecFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Leones del Norte vs OrenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 20m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Universidad Catolica Quito vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Hibernian vs HeartsFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Anderlecht vs KortrijkFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Gent vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Mjolby vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.85 · +14.2% CLV | 3:0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.