Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6637
6632 graded · 5 void
Win rate
63.1%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−456.3u
over 6632u staked
Yield
−6.9%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W14
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 60 | 46.7%35%–59% | +2.1pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1325 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2413 | 60.7%59%–63% | −5.4pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2441 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 379 | 72.6%68%–77% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 10 | 80.0%49%–94% | −10.6pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3529
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±112.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 140 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3588 | 58.8% | −302.6u |
| Double chance | 3049 | 68.0% | −153.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1112 | 65.6% | −58.2u |
| League 1 | 527 | 64.5% | −36.8u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 343 | 61.2% | +39.4u |
| League 2 | 235 | 58.3% | −36.5u |
| Division 1 | 176 | 59.7% | −25.5u |
| Division 2 | 144 | 63.2% | −11.3u |
| Serie B | 137 | 61.3% | −11.9u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 98 | 52.0% | −22.1u |
| National league | 97 | 53.1% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6637 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 53m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 38m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 28m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Coleraine vs CrusadersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.16 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Maritimo vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Alverca vs BragaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.73 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Ironi Kiryat ShmonaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2:4 | WON |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi TiberiasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Aldosivi vs BanfieldFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| The New Saints vs Barry TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Al Hidd vs Al Ahli ManamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| Al-Faisaly Harmah vs Al-HazemFootball · Premier League | first seen 28m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| Sekhukhune United vs TS GalaxyFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Vasteras vs SiriusFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar DonetskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.68 · −2.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Estrela Amadora vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| NEC Nijmegen vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Chippa United vs MilfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| GAIS vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Degerfors vs HalmstadsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| CAPS United vs DynamosFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Rayong vs PrachuapFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 3.65 · −5.2% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Tecnico Universitario vs LDU QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Platense vs Deportivo RiestraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.60 · +10.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
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