Dynamo Brest vs BATE Borisov
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6250
6246 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−422.6u
over 6246u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1214 | 55.6%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2300 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2332 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 352 | 72.4%68%–77% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 10 | 80.0%49%–94% | −10.6pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3143
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 131 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3274 | 58.9% | −278.2u |
| Double chance | 2976 | 68.1% | −144.4u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1095 | 65.6% | −58.3u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 313 | 62.3% | +42.5u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 137 | 61.3% | −11.9u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 96 | 52.1% | −21.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6250 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
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1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
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· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Brest vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.20 · +0.9% CLV | 0:2 | LOST |
| Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar KhorramabadFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Delfin vs Universidad Catolica QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.00 · −13.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Atletico Balboa vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Lanus vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun SpartansFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Al Shabab Al Ahmadi vs KazmaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Newell's Old BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| SK Beveren vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Anderlecht vs GenkFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sliema Wanderers vs BirkirkaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.42 · +9.2% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Santa Clara vs Rio AveFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Brommapojkarna vs ElfsborgFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| KA Akureyri vs BreidablikFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.