Al Riffa vs Al Khalidiyah
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.05 · +10.9% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6226
6222 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6222u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W3
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2296 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2327 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 351 | 72.4%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3119
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 131 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3252 | 58.9% | −278.0u |
| Double chance | 2974 | 68.2% | −143.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6226 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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1XDouble Chance
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AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
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· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riffa vs Al KhalidiyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.05 · +10.9% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Muharraq vs ManamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Al Jazeera Amman vs Shabab Al OrdonFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs PaykanFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Shams Azar vs Gol GoharFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Moreirense vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.19 · +6.2% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| St Johnstone vs CelticFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Rangers vs Saint MirrenFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Al-Fateh vs Al-DiriyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 3.40 · +86.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Al Mokawloon vs Al Ahly CairoFootball · Premier League | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Twente vs TelstarFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Shabab RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV | 2:2 | LOST |
| Larne vs BangorFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.18 · +11.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Smouha vs Ceramika CleopatraFootball · Premier League | first seen 14m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| NEC Nijmegen vs ExcelsiorFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.57 · −18.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Orense vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-3 | LOST |
| Emelec vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Estoril vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Halifax Wanderers vs CavalryFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs NeomFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.53 · −4.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Kalmar FF vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.65 · +1.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel HaifaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.97 · +1.0% CLV | 1:1 | WON |
| Foolad Khuzestan vs Fajr SepasiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Dynamo Brest vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
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