KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.52 · −6.2% CLV
- Score
- 3-5
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 19m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KA Akureyri vs KR ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.52 · −6.2% CLV | 3-5 | WON |
| KI Klaksvik vs NSI RunavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs CuscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV | 4-1 | LOST |
| Dungannon Swifts vs BangorFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Mosta vs BalzanFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| PSV vs GroningenFootball · Premier League | first seen 19m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.33 · +6.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al DhafraFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rijeka vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| B-68 Toftir vs SkalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.08 · −1.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs SepahanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Melgar vs Alianza LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Delfin vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Hajduk Split vs OsijekFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.02 · −6.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Belgrano vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Porto vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.27 · +13.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.25 · −6.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sport Boys vs CiencianoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| Barracas Central vs PlatenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sarmiento vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Santa Clara vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| IA Akranes vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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