Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osijek vs Dinamo ZagrebFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4-2 | LOST |
| Twente vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.23 · +0.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| SK Beveren vs Sint-TruidenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.18 · −5.2% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Crusaders vs Limavady UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.25 · +12.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Carrick Rangers vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-FayhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 12.00 · +837.5% CLV | 3:0 | LOST |
| Al Salt vs Al WehdatFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 0:3 | WON |
| Chippa United vs Mamelodi SundownsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Polokwane City vs Kaizer ChiefsFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 2.00 · +13.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs BaranovichiFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| AmaZulu vs Marumo GallantsFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.90 · +11.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.38 · +6.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Transport United vs ParoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Uthai Thani vs PattaniFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sisaket United vs Ayutthaya UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.77 · −5.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Ordabasy vs AstanaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1:0 | WON |
| Newell's Old Boys vs Velez SarsfieldFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Waterford vs FC DundalkFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.40 · +10.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Flint Town United vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.10 · −12.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Coleraine vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.42 · +5.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Galway vs Bohemians DublinFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Drogheda United vs Sligo RoversFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
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