FAS vs Alianza San Salvador
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 48m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 48m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAS vs Alianza San SalvadorFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Atletico Vega Real vs AtlanticoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 5-0 | LOST |
| Guayaquil City vs Mushuc RunaFootball · Premier League | first seen 48m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Atletico Tucuman vs River PlateFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Supra du Quebec vs Halifax WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Academico Viseu vs Vitoria GuimaraesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.70 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cambuur vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.50 · −5.1% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Union Saint-Gilloise vs Lommel UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Floriana vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-5 | LOST |
| Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport HuancayoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Lokomotiva Zagreb vs RijekaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Fortuna Sittard vs AjaxFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.42 · +2.9% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Independiente Rivadavia vs AldosiviFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Neman Grodno vs Torpedo-BelAZFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Casa Pia vs PortoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Go Ahead Eagles vs GroningenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Excelsior vs UtrechtFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.15 · +0.9% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| Sanat Naft Abadan vs Chador MaluFootball · Premier League | first seen 48m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano OkayamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1:2 | LOST |
| Racing Montevideo vs Boston RiverFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.95 · +7.1% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Birkirkara vs HiberniansFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sitra vs Al HiddFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Urartu vs NoahFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Kaisar vs AtyrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.