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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

KPV Kokkola vs VJS Vantaa

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Slovan 2 Bratislava vs Samorin

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 51m before

Slovan Galanta vs Petrzalka

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Bytca vs Inter Bratislava

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Humenne vs Lokomotíva Zvolen

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Dumbarton vs Clyde

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh City

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Elgin City vs Forfar

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Targu Mures vs Cetatea Suceava

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.35 · −4.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

Satu-Mare vs Resita

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Ramnicu Valcea

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.53 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

Metalul Buzau vs Afumati

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

Prostejov vs Karvina

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-07 · first seen 2h before

Dukla Prague vs Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.53 · −3.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 2h before

Opava vs Kladno

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.60 · −1.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 2h before

Sellier and Bellot Vlasim vs Viktoria Zizkov

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 2h before

Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-07 · first seen 2h before

Vysocina Jihlava vs Pribram

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-07 · first seen 1h before

KuPS 2 Kuopio vs Inter 2 Turku

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 1h before

Slavia 2 Prague vs Trinec

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.57 · −3.7% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-07 · first seen 1h before

Unirea Slobozia vs Gloria Bistrita

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-07 · first seen 1h before

RoPS vs FC Jazz

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-05 · first seen 39m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
KPV Kokkola vs VJS VantaaFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 47m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV1-2WON
Slovan 2 Bratislava vs SamorinFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 51m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-2WON
Slovan Galanta vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV0-3WON
Bytca vs Inter BratislavaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV0-3WON
Humenne vs Lokomotíva ZvolenFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0LOST
Dumbarton vs ClydeFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0LOST
Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh CityFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV2-2LOST
Elgin City vs ForfarFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-1WON
Stranraer vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV0-1LOST
Kelty Hearts vs Stirling AlbionFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-2LOST
Maardu Linnameeskond vs ViimsiFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2LOST
Targu Mures vs Cetatea SuceavaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.35 · −4.9% CLV0-2LOST
Satu-Mare vs ResitaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 26m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-2WON
CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Ramnicu ValceaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.53 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Metalul Buzau vs AfumatiFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 26m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-1WON
Prostejov vs KarvinaFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Dukla Prague vs Hanacka Slavia KromerizFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.53 · −3.2% CLV2-0WON
Opava vs KladnoFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.60 · −1.8% CLV1-1LOST
Sellier and Bellot Vlasim vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV4-1WON
Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV3-3LOST
Vysocina Jihlava vs PribramFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-2WON
KuPS 2 Kuopio vs Inter 2 TurkuFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1LOST
Slavia 2 Prague vs TrinecFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.57 · −3.7% CLV3-2WON
Unirea Slobozia vs Gloria BistritaFootball · League 22026-08-07first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-3LOST
RoPS vs FC JazzFootball · League 22026-08-05first seen 39m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-2WON

201–225 of 225· 132 won / 93 lost · −33.7u · −15.0% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.