Tranmere Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
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Football · League 2
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Football · League 2
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Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
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Football · League 2
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Football · League 2
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Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
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Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
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Football · League 2
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· first seen 25m before
Football · League 2
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· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
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Football · League 2
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· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 58m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere Rovers vs Shrewsbury TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs KarvinaFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Grimsby Town vs Exeter CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Maardu Linnameeskond vs TallinnFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Accrington Stanley vs Colchester UnitedFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Crawley Town vs Crewe AlexandraFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Northampton Town vs Swindon TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Zilina 2Football · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Cheltenham Town vs RotherhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Dumbarton vs Edinburgh CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.00 · −7.0% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Gillingham vs WalsallFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Elgin City vs Kelty HeartsFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Afumati vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 2 | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Newport County vs RochdaleFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Oldham vs Port ValeFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Metaloglobus Bucharest vs Viitorul SelimbarFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Gloria Bistrita vs Concordia ChiajnaFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Bihor Oradea vs Targu MuresFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ramnicu Valcea vs CSM SlatinaFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Dukla Prague vs Slavia 2 PragueFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.62 · −0.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pohronie vs BytcaFootball · League 2 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Flora 2 Tallinn vs Nomme Kalju 2Football · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.48 · +11.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Povazska Bystrica vs ViOn Zlate MoravceFootball · League 2 | first seen 58m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Aqvital Csakvar vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Soroksar vs DiosgyoriFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.