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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Edinburgh City vs Annan Athletic

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.25 · +13.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Exeter City vs Accrington Stanley

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Fehervar vs Mezokovesd Zsory

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged 2011

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Gyirmot vs Kecskemeti

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Port Vale vs Tranmere Rovers

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Tatran Presov vs Inter Bratislava

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Slovan Galanta vs Pohronie

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Bytca vs ViOn Zlate Moravce

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
4.60+36018/53.60+3.60-0.28from 4.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Shrewsbury Town vs Barnet

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Tampere United vs RoPS

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Bristol Rovers vs Newport County

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Salford City vs Chesterfield

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Vysocina Jihlava vs MAS Taborsko

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

Karvina vs Viktoria Zizkov

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

Opava vs Trinec

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

RoPS vs KuPS 2 Kuopio

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-11 · first seen 1h before

MAS Taborsko vs Opava

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.00 · −2.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kladno vs Sellier and Bellot Vlasim

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.40 · −4.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

SalPa vs FC Jazz

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Samorin vs Banik Lehota

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Pribram vs Prostejov

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Tartu Welco vs Flora 2 Tallinn

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

FC Elva vs Tartu Welco

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Edinburgh City vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.25 · +13.6% CLV1-0WON
Exeter City vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-0WON
Fehervar vs Mezokovesd ZsoryFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-2LOST
Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged 2011Football · League 22026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2WON
Gyirmot vs KecskemetiFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-4WON
Port Vale vs Tranmere RoversFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Tatran Presov vs Inter BratislavaFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1WON
Slovan Galanta vs PohronieFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-0LOST
Bytca vs ViOn Zlate MoravceFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV2-1LOST
Swindon Town vs Cheltenham TownFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived4.60+36018/53.60+3.60-0.28from 4.60 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Shrewsbury Town vs BarnetFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV1-3WON
Tampere United vs RoPSFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV4-0WON
Bristol Rovers vs Newport CountyFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV5-3WON
Salford City vs ChesterfieldFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV0-1LOST
Vysocina Jihlava vs MAS TaborskoFootball · League 22026-08-21first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1WON
Karvina vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 22026-08-21first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Opava vs TrinecFootball · League 22026-08-21first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV2-2LOST
RoPS vs KuPS 2 KuopioFootball · League 22026-08-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV2-1WON
MAS Taborsko vs OpavaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.00 · −2.4% CLV3-0WON
Kladno vs Sellier and Bellot VlasimFootball · League 22026-08-14first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.40 · −4.0% CLV1-1LOST
SalPa vs FC JazzFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 54m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-2WON
Samorin vs Banik LehotaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV0-2LOST
Pribram vs ProstejovFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV2-2LOST
Tartu Welco vs Flora 2 TallinnFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-1WON
FC Elva vs Tartu WelcoFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-1LOST

126–150 of 225· 132 won / 93 lost · −33.7u · −15.0% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.