Barnet vs Accrington Stanley
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
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Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
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Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
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Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Stranraer vs DumbartonFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Povazska Bystrica vs HumenneFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.52 · −0.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Shrewsbury Town vs Northampton TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.40 · −11.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Colchester United vs Crewe AlexandraFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Newport County vs Fleetwood TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Walsall vs RochdaleFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.67 · −3.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Inter Bratislava vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | LOST |
| Annan Athletic vs Elgin CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs ProstejovFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| York City vs Swindon TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Grimsby Town vs Bristol RoversFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Bihor Oradea vs CSA Steaua BucurestiFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Cetatea Suceava vs Ramnicu ValceaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Afumati vs Targu MuresFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Port Vale vs Exeter CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Crawley Town vs Cheltenham TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.30 · −16.4% CLV | 1:0 | LOST |
| Dukla Prague vs Sellier and Bellot VlasimFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| MAS Taborsko vs KladnoFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.67 · −6.2% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Pribram vs Banik Ostrava 2Football · League 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Usti nad Labem vs Vysocina JihlavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.98 · +1.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Trinec vs KarvinaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Viimsi vs FC ElvaFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Fehervar vs DiosgyoriFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.40 · +15.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Viktoria Zizkov vs PribramFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.50 · −18.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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