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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Prostejov

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.20 · −3.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

Pribram vs Karvina

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Gillingham vs Northampton Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Walsall vs Accrington Stanley

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 1.80 · −10.9% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.10 · +12.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Shrewsbury Town vs Salford City

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

York City vs Exeter City

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Barnet vs Cheltenham Town

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 6.10 · +306.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 4h before

Port Vale vs Crewe Alexandra

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 4h before

Resita vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 45m before

Afumati vs Unirea Slobozia

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 45m before

Metalul Buzau vs Chindia Targoviste

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 45m before

Edinburgh City vs Forfar

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Pohronie vs Tatran Presov

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

BVSC Zuglo vs Karcagi

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-24 · first seen 2h before

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Petrzalka

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 1h before

Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Walsall vs Grimsby Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

VJS Vantaa vs FC Jazz

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 51m before

Viitorul Selimbar vs Afumati

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 52m before

Stirling Albion vs Stranraer

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.85 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

SalPa vs OLS Oulu

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs ProstejovFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.20 · −3.0% CLV2-1LOST
Pribram vs KarvinaFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1LOST
Gillingham vs Northampton TownFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV1-1WON
Walsall vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 1.80 · −10.9% CLV3-2WON
Newport County vs Tranmere RoversFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.10 · +12.7% CLV2-2WON
Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood TownFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4:0WON
Shrewsbury Town vs Salford CityFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV1-0LOST
York City vs Exeter CityFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV2-1WON
Barnet vs Cheltenham TownFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 6.10 · +306.7% CLV2-2LOST
Port Vale vs Crewe AlexandraFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-0WON
Resita vs CSA Steaua BucurestiFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1WON
Afumati vs Unirea SloboziaFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-1WON
Metalul Buzau vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-3LOST
Edinburgh City vs ForfarFootball · League 22026-08-28first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-1WON
Pohronie vs Tatran PresovFootball · League 22026-08-28first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-1LOST
BVSC Zuglo vs KarcagiFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-4LOST
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu LinnameeskondFootball · League 22026-08-24first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV1-3LOST
Lokomotíva Zvolen vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 22026-08-24first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1WON
Fleetwood Town vs GillinghamFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV0-0LOST
Walsall vs Grimsby TownFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
VJS Vantaa vs FC JazzFootball · League 22026-08-23first seen 51m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-1WON
Viitorul Selimbar vs AfumatiFootball · League 22026-08-23first seen 52m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-1WON
Stirling Albion vs StranraerFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.85 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton TownFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0WON
SalPa vs OLS OuluFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—4-1LOST

26–50 of 152· 92 won / 60 lost · −17.9u · −11.8% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.