Wacker Innsbruck vs Voitsberg
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
- Feed close
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.25 · +12.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 27m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wacker Innsbruck vs VoitsbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.25 · +12.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| MC Oran vs CR TemouchentFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.53 · +4.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Admira Wacker Modling vs KapfenbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia BytomFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| KaPa vs PK-35 HelsinkiFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.75 · +16.7% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Farul Constanta vs UTA AradFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Puszcza Niepolomice vs LKS LodzFootball · League 1 | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.18 · +3.8% CLV | 1:2 | WON |
| Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| Metalac vs DubocicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 5:0 | LOST |
| USM Alger vs JS El BiarFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Stevenage vs Luton TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 2.90 · −10.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Buducnost Podgorica vs JezeroFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| ES Ben Aknoun vs US BiskraFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost Donja GoricaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Bokelj vs OtrantFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Varbergs BoIS vs NorrkopingFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Falkenbergs vs Osters IFFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.88 · +13.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Sundsvall vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Teleoptik vs NaftagasFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Decic Tuzi vs PetrovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sandvikens vs OddevoldFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Ljungskile vs NorrbyFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.80 · −7.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| United Nordic vs VarnamoFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Sutjeska Niksic vs Mornar BarFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Bromley vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.