Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
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Football · League 1
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X2Double Chance
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Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
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Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cambridge United vs ReadingFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Mansfield Town vs HuddersfieldFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Airdrieonians vs Alloa AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.75 · −5.2% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Stockport County vs LeicesterFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Boluspor vs PendiksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Warta Poznan vs Arka GdyniaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| JIPPO vs Klubi 04Football · League 1 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| MP vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.78 · +6.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| JDFS Alberts vs ValmieraFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.95 · −5.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Persijap Jepara vs BorneoFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| EIF Ekenas vs HakaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dalian K'un CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.43 · +4.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian LongdingFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Leyton Orient vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Notts County vs Bradford CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| FC Smiltene-BJSS vs Riga MarinersFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.15 · +9.5% CLV | 4-1 | LOST |
| Metta/LU vs YFK VentspilsFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.02-50001/500.02-50.00+0.02from 1.03 · +1.0% CLV | 7-0 | WON |
| Ningbo Professional vs Shaanxi UnionFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Inhulets Petrove vs Metalist KharkivFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| PSS Sleman vs Madura UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Persija Jakarta vs Persib BandungFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Plymouth Argyle vs BarnsleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Ruch Chorzow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko-BialaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3:3 | WON |
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