Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
- Feed close
- 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.02 · −1.5% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 12m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia vs Spartak VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.02 · −1.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM YogyakartaFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Arges Pitesti vs BotosaniFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.95 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Nyva Ternopil vs Prykarpattya Ivano-FrankivskFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Probiy Horodenka vs Phoenix MariupolFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Liefering vs St PoltenFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 3.05 · +5.2% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Botev Vratsa vs Levski SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| CS Constantine vs ASO ChlefFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Rapid Bucuresti vs VoluntariFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz LegnicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.45 · −10.9% CLV | 2:1 | LOST |
| CSKA Sofia vs Arda KardzhaliFootball · League 1 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Bodrumspor vs Batman PetrolsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.60 · +2.0% CLV | 4-0 | LOST |
| Jedinstvo Ub vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Umraniyespor vs AntalyasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.95 · +5.4% CLV | 3:2 | LOST |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Dunav RuseFootball · League 1 | first seen 18m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe vs CFR ClujFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Hammam-Sousse vs Stade TunisienFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| US Monastir vs Ben GuerdaneFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Vanspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Montrose vs Cove RangersFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Blackpool vs BromleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.67 · +4.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster RoversFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Oxford United vs Burton AlbionFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
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