Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 22m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 22m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 19m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Umraniyespor vs EroksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Valmiera vs MarupesFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.19 · −4.8% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Antalyaspor vs PendiksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Bodrumspor vs MuglasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.63 · −9.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Hammam-Sousse vs US MonastirFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi UnionFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou DongwuFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| CFR Cluj vs FCSBFootball · League 1 | first seen 22m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Bizertin vs AS MarsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Vanspor vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 22m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| LKS Lodz vs Stal MielecFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Norrby vs SandvikensFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Loznica vs Bor 1919Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Puszcza Niepolomice vs Unia SkierniewiceFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Brage vs United NordicFootball · League 1 | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Miedz Legnica vs Arka GdyniaFootball · League 1 | first seen 19m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.75 · −7.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Oddevold vs HelsingborgFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Mladost Donja Gorica vs PetrovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Cove Rangers vs PeterheadFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Montrose vs East KilbrideFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Wycombe Wanderers vs Plymouth ArgyleFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Milton Keynes Dons vs HuddersfieldFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
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