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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3910

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3911

3910 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.7u

over 3910u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W5

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72355.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%147962.5%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

807

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3910

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198568.6%−83.8u
Match winner192660.5%−124.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72767.3%−20.5u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3911 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Helsingborg vs Sandvikens

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

Riga Mariners vs Rezekne

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.04-25001/250.04-25.00+0.04from 1.08 · +3.8% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

UTA Arad vs Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Barnsley vs Stevenage

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-5

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.70 · +12.5% CLV
Score
3:2

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Peterborough United vs Sheffield Wednesday

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.02 · −14.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Persik Kediri vs Dewa United

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita Tangerang

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Petrovac vs Sutjeska Niksic

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

CFR Cluj vs Farul Constanta

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Norrkoping vs Ljungskile

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Osters IF vs United Nordic

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznan

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 4h before

PK-35 Helsinki vs EIF Ekenas

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.55 · −17.6% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 4h before

Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.35 · −11.3% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 4h before

Kaspiy Aktau 2 vs Turan Turkistan

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Bali United vs PSS Sleman

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 2m before

JS El Biar vs Oued Akbou

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 2h before

ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.50 · −12.8% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 2m before

Mornar Bar vs Bokelj

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 2m before

Bursaspor vs Istanbulspor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 24m before

Bodrumspor vs Erokspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 24m before

ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.72 · +14.7% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 6d 20h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Helsingborg vs SandvikensFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-2WON
Riga Mariners vs RezekneFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.04-25001/250.04-25.00+0.04from 1.08 · +3.8% CLV5-0WON
UTA Arad vs Csikszereda Miercurea CiucFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV5-1WON
Barnsley vs StevenageFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-5LOST
Burton Albion vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.70 · +12.5% CLV3:2WON
Stal Mielec vs Odra OpoleFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Peterborough United vs Sheffield WednesdayFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 44m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.02 · −14.0% CLV1-2WON
Persik Kediri vs Dewa UnitedFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-1WON
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita TangerangFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 16m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV2-3LOST
Petrovac vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV0-0LOST
CFR Cluj vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-0WON
Norrkoping vs LjungskileFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV2-2LOST
Osters IF vs United NordicFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 30m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2LOST
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Warta PoznanFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
PK-35 Helsinki vs EIF EkenasFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.55 · −17.6% CLV0-3LOST
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.35 · −11.3% CLV2-3LOST
Kaspiy Aktau 2 vs Turan TurkistanFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-0LOST
Bali United vs PSS SlemanFootball · League 12026-09-04first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-1WON
JS El Biar vs Oued AkbouFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-2LOST
ES Setif vs ES Ben AknounFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.50 · −12.8% CLV0-1LOST
Mornar Bar vs BokeljFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-0WON
Bursaspor vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 24m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV4-0WON
Bodrumspor vs EroksporFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 24m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-0WON
ES Setif vs ES Ben AknounFootball · League 12026-09-03first seen 6d 20h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.72 · +14.7% CLV0-1LOST

26–50 of 320· 216 won / 104 lost · −9.1u · −2.9% yield · of 3911 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.