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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Inhulets Petrove vs Nyva Ternopil

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Ljungskile vs Osters IF

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Schwarz Weiss Bregenz vs Kapfenberg

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Jaiyq vs Taraz Karatau

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 42m before

Vrsac vs Dubocica

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.67 · −5.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-19 · first seen 1h before

Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Loznica vs Borac Cacak

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.75 · −8.5% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Metalac vs Smederevo 1924

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-19 · first seen 4h before

Javor Ivanjica vs Jedinstvo Ub

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-19 · first seen 3h before

Teleoptik vs Napredak Krusevac

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-19 · first seen 3h before

Botosani vs Hunedoara

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-10 · first seen 1h before

Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Petrovac vs Jezero

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Mladost Donja Gorica vs Mornar Bar

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Mansfield Town vs Doncaster Rovers

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Peterhead vs East Fife

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

JaPS vs Haka

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.63 · +7.2% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Sundsvall vs Helsingborg

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

JDFS Alberts vs Riga 2

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Vrsac vs Naftagas

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Muglaspor vs Bandirmaspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 24m before

Keciorengucu Ankara vs Pendikspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Kayserispor vs Sivasspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Inhulets Petrove vs Nyva TernopilFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Ljungskile vs Osters IFFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-3LOST
Schwarz Weiss Bregenz vs KapfenbergFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-2WON
Jaiyq vs Taraz KaratauFootball · League 12026-08-07first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON
Vrsac vs DubocicaFootball · League 12026-08-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.67 · −5.6% CLV2-1WON
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs Sepsi Sfantu GheorgheFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-0WON
Loznica vs Borac CacakFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-3LOST
Dunav Ruse vs Arda KardzhaliFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.75 · −8.5% CLV0-2LOST
Metalac vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 12026-08-19first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-0WON
Javor Ivanjica vs Jedinstvo UbFootball · League 12026-08-19first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Teleoptik vs Napredak KrusevacFootball · League 12026-08-19first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-1WON
Botosani vs HunedoaraFootball · League 12026-08-10first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV0-0LOST
Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 12026-08-09first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-0WON
Petrovac vs JezeroFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-0WON
Mladost Donja Gorica vs Mornar BarFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-3WON
Mansfield Town vs Doncaster RoversFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-1WON
Peterhead vs East FifeFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-1WON
JaPS vs HakaFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.63 · +7.2% CLV1-2WON
Voluntari vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-2WON
Sundsvall vs HelsingborgFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 54m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
JDFS Alberts vs Riga 2Football · League 12026-08-08first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-0WON
Vrsac vs NaftagasFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0WON
Muglaspor vs BandirmasporFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 24m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Keciorengucu Ankara vs PendiksporFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—4-1WON
Kayserispor vs SivassporFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON

376–400 of 519· 336 won / 183 lost · −34.5u · −6.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.