Saryer vs Muglaspor
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saryer vs MuglasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Varbergs BoIS vs SandvikensFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi HengchenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen JuniorsFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Amstetten vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 1 | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Antalyaspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Dinamo Bucuresti vs VoluntariFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.52 · +1.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala vs Lechia GdanskFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.25 · −10.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Bor 1919 vs Napredak KrusevacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.70 · −10.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Borac Cacak vs VozdovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Dubocica vs LoznicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sivasspor vs EroksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Umraniyespor vs Mardin BBFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Farul Constanta vs Csikszereda Miercurea CiucFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Norrkoping vs BrageFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| KaPa vs EIF EkenasFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| FC Smiltene-BJSS vs ValmieraFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.14 · −2.6% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 HelsinkiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Queen of South vs PeterheadFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Hamilton Academical vs Alloa AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Ross County vs MontroseFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.25 · −10.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Airdrieonians vs East KilbrideFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Rapid 2 Vienna vs VoitsbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Puszcza Niepolomice vs Odra OpoleFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
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