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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Rapid Bucuresti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Bursaspor vs Igdir Belediyespor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Manisa vs Vanspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 8m before

Sutjeska Niksic vs Otrant

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Voitsberg vs Schwarz Weiss Bregenz

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-5

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Kapfenberg vs Wacker Innsbruck

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Istanbulspor vs Bodrumspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Fatih Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker Modling

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

PK-35 Helsinki vs Klubi 04

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Sandvikens vs Norrkoping

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Hamilton Academical vs Airdrieonians

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.13 · +6.5% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Bradford City vs Peterborough United

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Huddersfield vs AFC Wimbledon

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.53 · −1.3% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Marupes vs Super Nova 2

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Barnsley vs Bromley

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Alloa Athletic vs Montrose

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.37 · −3.5% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Blackpool vs Wycombe Wanderers

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.73 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 25m before

Notts County vs Leicester

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Rapid Bucuresti vs Dinamo BucurestiFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-1LOST
Bursaspor vs Igdir BelediyesporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV1-0WON
Manisa vs VansporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4-1WON
Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV2-0WON
Sutjeska Niksic vs OtrantFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-4LOST
Voitsberg vs Schwarz Weiss BregenzFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV6-5WON
Kapfenberg vs Wacker InnsbruckFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1WON
Istanbulspor vs BodrumsporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-2WON
Fatih Karagumruk vs UmraniyesporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV2-1WON
Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-2WON
PK-35 Helsinki vs Klubi 04Football · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV1-1LOST
Sandvikens vs NorrkopingFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-4WON
Burton Albion vs StevenageFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Hamilton Academical vs AirdrieoniansFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.13 · +6.5% CLV4-0WON
Bradford City vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—2-0WON
Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-3LOST
Huddersfield vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.53 · −1.3% CLV3-0WON
Cambridge United vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-2WON
Marupes vs Super Nova 2Football · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-1LOST
Barnsley vs BromleyFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV0-1LOST
Alloa Athletic vs MontroseFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—3-0WON
East Kilbride vs Cove RangersFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.37 · −3.5% CLV3-0WON
Blackpool vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia WarszawaFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 25m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.73 · +3.6% CLV1-0LOST
Notts County vs LeicesterFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON

226–250 of 320· 216 won / 104 lost · −9.1u · −2.9% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.