Swansea vs Wrexham
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 59m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 31m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea vs WrexhamFootball · Championship | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Portsmouth vs Cardiff CityFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2:1 | LOST |
| QPR vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0:1 | WON |
| West Bromwich vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Preston North End vs Blackburn RoversFootball · Championship | first seen 44m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Stoke City vs Charlton AthleticFootball · Championship | first seen 44m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Lincoln City vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 44m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Fiorentino vs VirtusFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Tre Penne vs SS CosmosFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.25 · −17.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| SP Domagnano vs San GiovanniFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Faetano vs Tre FioriFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.07 · −0.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Livingston vs StenhousemuirFootball · Championship | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Burnley vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| West Bromwich vs Charlton AthleticFootball · Championship | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| QPR vs Cardiff CityFootball · Championship | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Millwall vs WrexhamFootball · Championship | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0:3 | LOST |
| Stoke City vs Norwich CityFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Birmingham City vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sheffield United vs Bolton WanderersFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| West Ham vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 4:2 | WON |
| Swansea vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Preston North End vs Bristol CityFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Portsmouth vs Derby CountyFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Lincoln City vs Blackburn RoversFootball · Championship | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Tre Fiori vs PennarossaFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.