Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 5-2
· first seen 57m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3911
3910 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.7u
over 3910u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 723 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1479 | 62.5%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
807
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1985 | 68.6% | −83.8u |
| Match winner | 1926 | 60.5% | −124.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 67.3% | −20.5u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3911 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Fiori vs PennarossaFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Virtus vs La FioritaFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Norwich City vs BurnleyFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1:5 | WON |
| Bristol City vs PortsmouthFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Southampton vs MillwallFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5:1 | LOST |
| Watford vs West HamFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| San Giovanni vs Tre PenneFootball · Championship | first seen 59m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Derby County vs SwanseaFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Middlesbrough vs West BromwichFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Juvenes/Dogana vs FaetanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Cailungo vs SP DomagnanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.40 · +6.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| San Marino Academy vs FiorentinoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Folgore/Falciano vs MurataFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.10 · +4.8% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Wrexham vs Birmingham CityFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Queen's Park vs StenhousemuirFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Swansea vs Sheffield UnitedFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Livingston vs DunfermlineFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Raith Rovers vs Ayr UnitedFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Greenock Morton vs ArbroathFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Blackburn Rovers vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Derby County vs Cardiff CityFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Southampton vs Stoke CityFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Wrexham vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Preston North End vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Millwall vs Norwich CityFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.