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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4078

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4079

4078 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−212.6u

over 4078u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W5

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%8———
50–60%avg claim 56%77355.6%52%–59%52%–59%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%153362.6%60%–65%60%–65%−3.7pp
70–80%avg claim 75%154970.2%68%–72%68%–72%−4.7pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20871.6%65%–77%65%–77%−8.7pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−3pp

975

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4078

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±87.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 95 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance205368.7%−82.1u
Match winner202660.3%−130.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League74667.4%−19.4u
Superleague34361.5%−39.8u
League 133367.0%−12.0u
MLB↗MLB league page21259.4%+19.2u
League 215360.8%−17.3u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6950.7%−16.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4079 picks with a captured kickoff.

OFK Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo 1924

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Aluminij vs Nafta Lendava

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.40 · +12.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

FC Jazz vs OLS Oulu

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Chindia Targoviste vs Metaloglobus Bucharest

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Tromsdalen vs Lorenskog

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Schoningen vs Eintracht Norderstedt

Football · Regional League. North

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Vizela vs Leiria

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 5h before

Banik Lehota vs Dynamo Malzenice

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Arendal vs Pors Grenland

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Skive vs Nykobing

Football · 2 division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Blansko vs Hodonin

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 56m before

FA Povltavska vs Pisek

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 41m before

Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula Power

Football · Queensland. National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

Concordia Chiajna vs Bihor Oradea

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen United

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.11 · 0.0% CLV
Score
7-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 11m before

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 8m before

Grindavik vs Grotta

Football · Division 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Volsungur vs IF Vestri

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

All Boys vs Nueva Chicago

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Novi Sad

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Brondby vs Sonderjyske

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
OFK Beograd vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—2-2WON
Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 12026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-2LOST
Aluminij vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.40 · +12.7% CLV1-1LOST
FC Jazz vs OLS OuluFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-1WON
Chindia Targoviste vs Metaloglobus BucharestFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-1WON
Tromsdalen vs LorenskogFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
Schoningen vs Eintracht NorderstedtFootball · Regional League. North2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Vizela vs LeiriaFootball · Division 22026-08-09first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0WON
Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A2026-08-08first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV2-0WON
Banik Lehota vs Dynamo MalzeniceFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-1WON
Arendal vs Pors GrenlandFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-1WON
Skive vs NykobingFootball · 2 division2026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-3LOST
Blansko vs HodoninFootball · League 32026-08-08first seen 56m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-3WON
FA Povltavska vs PisekFootball · League 32026-08-08first seen 41m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-3WON
Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula PowerFootball · Queensland. National Premier League2026-08-08first seen 26m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
Concordia Chiajna vs Bihor OradeaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 26m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0WON
Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League2026-08-08first seen 11m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.11 · 0.0% CLV7-0WON
Afturelding vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV2-2LOST
Grindavik vs GrottaFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Volsungur vs IF VestriFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV2-0WON
All Boys vs Nueva ChicagoFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-17first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0WON
Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Novi SadFootball · Superleague2026-08-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
Jong Utrecht vs VitesseFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV1-3WON
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atletico TucumanFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1WON
Brondby vs SonderjyskeFootball · Superleague2026-08-17first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV3-2WON

2701–2725 of 4079

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.