IF Karlstad vs Assyriska Sodertalje
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4077
4076 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−213.6u
over 4076u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 8 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 773 | 55.6%52%–59% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1531 | 62.5%60%–65% | −3.7pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1549 | 70.2%68%–72% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 208 | 71.6%65%–77% | −8.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−3pp
973
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±87.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 95 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2053 | 68.7% | −82.1u |
| Match winner | 2024 | 60.3% | −131.4u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 745 | 67.4% | −19.9u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 333 | 67.0% | −12.0u |
| MLBMLB league page | 212 | 59.4% | +19.2u |
| League 2 | 153 | 60.8% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 69 | 50.7% | −16.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4077 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Basketball · NBL 1. West. Final
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Women. Major League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Regional League. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying round. Second leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 58m before
Football · Segunda Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad vs Assyriska SodertaljeFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Maidenhead United vs Dorking WanderersFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Dover Athletic vs Slough TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Horsham vs SalisburyFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Koge vs HvidovreFootball · 1st Division | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Stranraer vs Spartans EdinburghFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Forfar vs Stirling AlbionFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| VSK Aarhus vs ThistedFootball · 2 division | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Oxford United vs Milton Keynes DonsFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Rockingham Flames vs Geraldton BuccaneersBasketball · NBL 1. West. Final | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 66-62 | WON |
| Gefle vs UmeaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Saint Etienne vs ClermontFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Guingamp vs BoulogneFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Dijon vs PauFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Amiens vs La Roche-sur-YonFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TalangFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.50 · −10.7% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Elfsborg vs VasterasFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.78 · +12.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Vaxjo (w) vs Djurgardens (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Magallanes vs CobreloaFootball · Serie B | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| SSV Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli 2Football · Regional League. North | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Eintracht Norderstedt vs Kickers EmdenFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 6-2 | LOST |
| Kairat Almaty vs Levski SofiaFootball · Third qualifying round. Second leg | first seen 58m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Oriental La-Paz vs Atenas San CarlosFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| OFK Beograd vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.