Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FC
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 21m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4040
4039 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.7u
over 4039u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W3
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 765 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1517 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1536 | 70.2%68%–72% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
936
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2035 | 68.6% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 2005 | 60.3% | −131.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 740 | 67.2% | −22.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 326 | 67.2% | −10.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 208 | 59.6% | +19.5u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4040 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 21m before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4m before
Football · Categoria Primera A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10h before
Football · Qualifying
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Qualifying
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FCFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 21m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Ferencvaros vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Almagro vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| RoPS vs FC JazzFootball · League 2 | first seen 39m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 4m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Llaneros FC vs Fortaleza CEIFFootball · Categoria Primera A | first seen 10h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Shamrock Rovers FC vs KF EgnatiaFootball · Qualifying | first seen 8h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Sparta Prague vs LyonFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Mjallby AIF vs SK Slovan BratislavaFootball · Qualifying | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Ararat Armenia vs CeljeFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.