Mlada Boleslav 2 vs MFK Hrudim
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 6-1
· first seen 41m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4032
4031 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.6u
over 4031u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1514 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1532 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
928
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2030 | 68.6% | −84.9u |
| Match winner | 2002 | 60.3% | −131.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4032 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 41m before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 48m before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 48m before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 31m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 31m before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 31m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav 2 vs MFK HrudimFootball · League 3 | first seen 41m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 6-1 | WON |
| Brisbane City vs Gold Coast UnitedFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Magic United vs Rochedale RoversFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Satu-Mare vs ResitaFootball · League 2 | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Olympic Brisbane vs Moreton City ExcelsiorFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Metalul Buzau vs AfumatiFootball · League 2 | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Southern Districts Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers 2Football · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 48m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Manly United vs Marconi StallionsFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 48m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Adamstown Rosebud vs Cooks Hill UnitedFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 18m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Belmont Swansea United vs Lambton JaffasFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Edgeworth Eagles vs Weston BearsFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Croydon Kings vs Sturt LionsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Croydon Kings (r) vs Sturt Lions (r)Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cartagines vs Sporting San JoseFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Malacateco vs XelajuFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Universitario Lima vs Sporting CristalFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Isidro Metapan vs Aguila San MiguelFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportes Quindio vs Internacional PalmiraFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Comerciantes Unidos vs CuscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Independiente Campo Grande vs ResistenciaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Estoril vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cambrian United vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Airbus UK vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Cork City vs KerryFootball · Division 1 | first seen 31m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.