Linfield vs Glentoran
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4019
4018 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−213.9u
over 4018u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 761 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1508 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1528 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
915
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2027 | 68.6% | −85.9u |
| Match winner | 1992 | 60.4% | −128.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4019 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 2 division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Regional League. West
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · U19. Youth league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linfield vs GlentoranFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Elgin City vs Kelty HeartsFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Afumati vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 2 | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia WarszawaFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.73 · +3.6% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Guarani Paraguari vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 54m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Spakenburg vs KatwijkFootball · Division 2 | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi SundownsFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Leiria vs Benfica 2Football · Division 2 | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogelsFootball · Division 2 | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Cerro Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kudrovka vs Obolon KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Fortuna Koln vs Alemannia AachenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Meppen vs Sonnenhof GrossaspachFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| FC Roskilde vs MiddelfartFootball · 2 division | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Bochum 2 vs Rot-Weiss OberhausenFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Esbjerg vs HobroFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian YingboFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan LongmenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Rodinghausen vs Paderborn 07-2Football · Regional League. West | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Barry Town vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Bolton Wanderers vs Preston North EndFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Notts County vs LeicesterFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Newport County vs RochdaleFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Opava U19 vs Dynamo Ceske Budejovice U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
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