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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4012

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4013

4012 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.3u

over 4012u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%75955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%150762.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152570.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.7pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

909

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4012

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202468.5%−86.9u
Match winner198960.4%−128.4u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page20659.2%+18.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4013 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Spalding United vs Oxford City

Football · National league. North

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Barnet vs Salford City

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Solihull Moors vs Boston United

Football · National league

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Southend United vs Scunthorpe United

Football · National league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Bradford City vs Peterborough United

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Hereford vs Marine

Football · National league. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Chelmsford City vs Truro City

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

OLS Oulu vs RoPS

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town

Football · National league. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Worthing vs Forest Green Rovers

Football · National league

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Charlton Athletic vs Derby County

Football · Championship

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Cambridge United vs Wigan Athletic

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Marupes vs Super Nova 2

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Harborough Town vs Morecambe

Football · National league. North

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Norwich City vs West Bromwich

Football · Championship

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

York City vs Bristol Rovers

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Tranmere Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Stoke City vs Swansea

Football · Championship

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Alloa Athletic vs Montrose

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Grimsby Town vs Exeter City

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinn

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Spalding United vs Oxford CityFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1LOST
Burton Albion vs StevenageFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Barnet vs Salford CityFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—3-1WON
KFUM Oslo vs LillestromFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-1WON
Solihull Moors vs Boston UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-2LOST
Southend United vs Scunthorpe UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Bradford City vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—2-0WON
Hereford vs MarineFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
Chelmsford City vs Truro CityFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-0WON
Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-3LOST
OLS Oulu vs RoPSFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-3WON
Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-1WON
Worthing vs Forest Green RoversFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-2WON
Charlton Athletic vs Derby CountyFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1LOST
Cambridge United vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-2WON
Marupes vs Super Nova 2Football · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-1LOST
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood TownFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Harborough Town vs MorecambeFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0LOST
Norwich City vs West BromwichFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-2LOST
York City vs Bristol RoversFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-2WON
Tranmere Rovers vs Shrewsbury TownFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-0WON
Stoke City vs SwanseaFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-2LOST
Alloa Athletic vs MontroseFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—3-0WON
Grimsby Town vs Exeter CityFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-0WON
Maardu Linnameeskond vs TallinnFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON

1476–1500 of 2024· 1387 won / 637 lost · −86.9u · −4.3% yield · of 4013 total

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