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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3989

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3990

3989 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−213.0u

over 3989u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W10

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74455.4%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%150562.3%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%151970.4%68%–73%68%–73%−4.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

886

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3989

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202168.6%−85.3u
Match winner196960.4%−127.7u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73867.2%−21.4u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19360.1%+19.8u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210366.0%−4.2u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3990 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Unia Skierniewice vs Miedz Legnica

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Stuttgart 2 vs Viktoria Koln

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Lommel United vs Charleroi

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Porto 2 vs Farense

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Espanyol vs Levante

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Dynamo Brest vs Isloch Minsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Arouca vs Moreirense

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Dinamo Batumi

Football · National League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Baltika vs Spartak Moscow

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Varazdin vs Rijeka

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Puskas Academy vs Paksi

Football · National League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Karcagi vs Tiszakecske

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Brann vs Hamarkameratene

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Burnley vs West Ham

Football · Championship

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Atyrau vs Okzhetpes

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Kongsvinger vs Haugesund

Football · Division 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Hartberg vs Austria Vienna

Football · Bundesliga

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Rangers vs Saint Mirren

Football · League Cup. Round of 16

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 6d 19h before

Raufoss vs Asane

Football · Division 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Egersunds vs Stabaek

Football · Division 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

BSK Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Pisek vs Loko Prague

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Nacional Madeira vs Estoril

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Unia Skierniewice vs Miedz LegnicaFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-3WON
Stuttgart 2 vs Viktoria KolnFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-3LOST
Lommel United vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
Fredrikstad vs KristiansundFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0WON
Porto 2 vs FarenseFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-3WON
Espanyol vs LevanteFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-0WON
Dynamo Brest vs Isloch MinskFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2LOST
Arouca vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—4-0WON
Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Dinamo BatumiFootball · National League2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-4LOST
Baltika vs Spartak MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-16first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-2WON
Varazdin vs RijekaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-0LOST
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico OttawaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-2LOST
Puskas Academy vs PaksiFootball · National League2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-2LOST
Karcagi vs TiszakecskeFootball · League 22026-08-16first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-3WON
Brann vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-0WON
Burnley vs West HamFootball · Championship2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-2WON
Atyrau vs OkzhetpesFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-2WON
Kongsvinger vs HaugesundFootball · Division 12026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-2LOST
Hartberg vs Austria ViennaFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-2LOST
Rangers vs Saint MirrenFootball · League Cup. Round of 162026-08-16first seen 6d 19h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—5-1WON
Raufoss vs AsaneFootball · Division 12026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2WON
Egersunds vs StabaekFootball · Division 12026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-4WON
BSK Banja Luka vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-0LOST
Pisek vs Loko PragueFootball · League 32026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-2WON
Nacional Madeira vs EstorilFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0LOST

1326–1350 of 2021· 1386 won / 635 lost · −85.3u · −4.2% yield · of 3990 total

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