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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3951

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3952

3951 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.9u

over 3951u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

848

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3951

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195160.5%−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

New England Revolution vs New York City

Football · MLS

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Melgar vs Alianza Lima

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Delfin vs Deportivo Aucas

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

ASA Arapiraca vs SE Gama

Football · Serie D. Semi-finals. First leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Vanspor vs Istanbulspor

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 22m before

Perugia vs Ostia Mare

Football · Serie C. Group B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Tenerife vs Almeria

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 36m before

Porto vs Arouca

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 36m before

Grosseto vs Spezia

Football · Serie C. Group B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Temperley vs Ferrocarril Midland

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Maringa vs Barra

Football · Serie C

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Cesena vs Sampdoria

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Ciudad Bolivar vs Racing Cordoba

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 22m before

CD Maipu vs Quilmes

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 22m before

Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis

Football · Superleague 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 22m before

Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 22m before

Sport Boys vs Cienciano

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Llacuabamba

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Getafe vs Racing Santander

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Barracas Central vs Platense

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Sarmiento vs Estudiantes La Plata

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Santa Clara vs Famalicao

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Francs Borains vs Hasselt

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
New England Revolution vs New York CityFootball · MLS2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
Melgar vs Alianza LimaFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-1WON
Delfin vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-1WON
ASA Arapiraca vs SE GamaFootball · Serie D. Semi-finals. First leg2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—2-0WON
Vanspor vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 12026-08-23first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-2LOST
Perugia vs Ostia MareFootball · Serie C. Group B2026-08-23first seen 6m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Tenerife vs AlmeriaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-23first seen 36m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0LOST
Porto vs AroucaFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 36m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV2-0WON
Grosseto vs SpeziaFootball · Serie C. Group B2026-08-23first seen 6m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
Temperley vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-23first seen 6m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-1WON
Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague2026-08-23first seen 6m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Maringa vs BarraFootball · Serie C2026-08-23first seen 6m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1WON
Cesena vs SampdoriaFootball · Serie B2026-08-23first seen 6m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-1WON
Ciudad Bolivar vs Racing CordobaFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-23first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
CD Maipu vs QuilmesFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-23first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0WON
Panetolikos vs Asteras TripolisFootball · Superleague 12026-08-23first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-1WON
Goztepe vs GenclerbirligiFootball · Superleague2026-08-23first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-1LOST
Sport Boys vs CiencianoFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—5-1LOST
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin TucumanFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-23first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-2WON
Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo LlacuabambaFootball · Division 22026-08-23first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-0LOST
Getafe vs Racing SantanderFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-23first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-0LOST
Barracas Central vs PlatenseFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-2LOST
Sarmiento vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0LOST
Santa Clara vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-0LOST
Francs Borains vs HasseltFootball · Division 22026-08-23first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1LOST

826–850 of 2001· 1371 won / 630 lost · −86.1u · −4.3% yield · of 3952 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.