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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-6

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
7-13

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Athletics vs Texas Rangers

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-11

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4m before

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-10

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—2-6LOST
Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—0-3LOST
San Francisco Giants vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—7-13LOST
Athletics vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—5-2WON
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4-11WON
Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—5-7WON
Cincinnati Reds vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—1-7WON
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—5-7WON
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—0-5WON
New York Mets vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—4-3WON
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—3-4LOST
Atlanta Braves vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—5-3LOST
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8-3LOST
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—2-10LOST

176–189 of 189· 113 won / 76 lost · +18.2u · +9.6% yield · of 3913 total

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