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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4042

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4043

4042 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.8u

over 4042u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%76555.4%52%–59%52%–59%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%151862.5%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%153870.2%68%–72%68%–72%−4.7pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

939

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4042

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance203668.7%−83.7u
Match winner200760.3%−132.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League74167.2%−21.7u
Superleague34361.5%−39.8u
League 132667.2%−10.8u
MLB↗MLB league page20859.6%+19.5u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4043 picks with a captured kickoff.

Kloetinge vs Kozakken Boys

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 42m before

Tampere United vs RoPS

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Boston United vs Altrincham

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Metz vs Laval

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Qingdao West Coast vs Shandong Taishan

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Middelfart vs Nykobing

Football · 2 division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Vsetin vs Unicov

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Forest Green Rovers vs Boreham Wood

Football · National league

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.78 · −2.2% CLV
Score
4-5

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Luton Town vs Notts County

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Millwall vs Norwich City

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Carlisle United vs Hornchurch

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Yeovil Town vs Gateshead

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.93 · −1.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Bristol Rovers vs Newport County

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Birmingham City vs Bristol City

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.75 · +2.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Harrogate Town vs Barrow

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Solihull Moors vs Southend United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Worthing vs Wealdstone

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Salford City vs Chesterfield

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe United

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.87 · −1.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Doncaster Rovers vs Barnsley

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Lincoln City vs Portsmouth

Football · Championship

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Kloetinge vs Kozakken BoysFootball · Division 22026-08-22first seen 57m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-3WON
Volga Ulyanovsk vs ShinnikFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-3WON
Korona Kielce vs Motor LublinFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV1-1LOST
Tampere United vs RoPSFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV4-0WON
Boston United vs AltrinchamFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV1-0WON
Metz vs LavalFootball · Ligue 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Qingdao West Coast vs Shandong TaishanFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0WON
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan YukunFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV3-3LOST
Middelfart vs NykobingFootball · 2 division2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-3LOST
Vsetin vs UnicovFootball · League 32026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2WON
Forest Green Rovers vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-3LOST
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.78 · −2.2% CLV4-5LOST
Luton Town vs Notts CountyFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV2-2LOST
Millwall vs Norwich CityFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-0WON
Carlisle United vs HornchurchFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Yeovil Town vs GatesheadFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.93 · −1.0% CLV3-0WON
Bristol Rovers vs Newport CountyFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV5-3WON
Birmingham City vs Bristol CityFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.75 · +2.9% CLV2-2LOST
Harrogate Town vs BarrowFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Solihull Moors vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV1-3WON
Worthing vs WealdstoneFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV1-0WON
Salford City vs ChesterfieldFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV0-1LOST
Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.87 · −1.6% CLV3-2LOST
Doncaster Rovers vs BarnsleyFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-0WON
Lincoln City vs PortsmouthFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-3LOST

2151–2175 of 4043

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.