Greenock Morton vs Arbroath
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 50m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4036
4035 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.2u
over 4035u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1516 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1534 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
932
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2032 | 68.7% | −84.0u |
| Match winner | 2004 | 60.3% | −132.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 326 | 67.2% | −10.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4036 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. East
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division Nationale
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenock Morton vs ArbroathFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Jonkopings Sodra vs RosengardFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Atvidabergs vs AngelholmsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.62 · +4.5% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Blackburn Rovers vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Valencia vs CeltaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sturm vs Austria LustenauFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat GanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Derby County vs Cardiff CityFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Chesham United vs Walton & HershamFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.40 · −1.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Jaro vs OuluFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Port Vale vs Tranmere RoversFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Partizani Tirana vs Teuta DurresFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Macva Sabac vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Udinese vs ComoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Slaven Belupo vs HNK GoricaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Gloggnitz vs SC/ESV ParndorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Lusitania Lourosa vs TorreenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Ghazl El Mahalla vs PyramidsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.48 · +2.1% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| FC Rustavi vs GagraFootball · National League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.77 · +1.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Progres Niederkorn vs StrassenFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs UtrechtFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Balti vs ZimbruFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Brentford vs TottenhamFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.