Deportivo Armenio vs Real Pilar
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 27m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
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· first seen 27m before
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Football · Serie A
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Football · Serie B
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Football · Premier League
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· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
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Football · Primera division
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Serie B
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Football · Premier Division
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Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio vs Real PilarFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Ceuta vs Las PalmasFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.50 · +6.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| IF Vestri vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 2.90 · −6.5% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Dila Gori vs Torpedo KutaisiFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 28h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Frem vs ASA AarhusFootball · Danmarksserien | first seen 16h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Maribor vs BravoFootball · Superleague | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Rijeka vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Frosinone vs JuventusFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| B-68 Toftir vs SkalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Santos SP vs MirassolFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.87 · +8.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Maranhao vs ItabaianaFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Chapecoense vs Sao PauloFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Criciuma vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Palmeiras SP vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.57 · −1.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Guabira vs Blooming Santa CruzFootball · Primera division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Antofagasta vs Deportes TemucoFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo SaprissaFootball · Premier Division | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo GuastatoyaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Operario Ferroviario vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.80 · +22.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Marathon vs Real EspanaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.08 · −1.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| FC Kitzbuhel vs Intemann LauterachFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
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