Bologna vs Lazio
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Liga Leumit
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Leumit
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL. League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL. League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Superleague 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 20m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · USL. League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 52m before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 22m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna vs LazioFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Rishon LezionFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio JaffaFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Botosani vs Csikszereda Miercurea CiucFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.62 · −4.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Smederevo 1924 vs TeleoptikFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Bishkek City vs AlgaFootball · Premier league | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph SCFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Corpus Christi vs WestchesterFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 18m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Olympiacos Piraeus vs Atromitos AthensFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Fleetwood Town vs GillinghamFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Vasas vs Puskas AcademyFootball · National League | first seen 20m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.12 · −1.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Kidderminster vs Aldershot TownFootball · National league | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Walsall vs Grimsby TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Leixoes vs LeiriaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Palermo vs Juve StabiaFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| La Serena vs CobresalFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.62 · +10.2% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Latina vs PinetoFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| GKS Katowice vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Vasalund vs IFK StocksundFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| AV Alta vs NaplesFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 52m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.98 · −1.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Los Angeles vs Portland TimbersFootball · MLS | first seen 22m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| FAS vs Aguila San MiguelFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Orange County vs TulsaFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-5 | LOST |
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs DallasFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.