FC Volendam vs Dordrecht
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 6-1
· first seen 2m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3992
3991 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.0u
over 3991u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 745 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1505 | 62.3%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1520 | 70.4%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
888
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2022 | 68.5% | −86.3u |
| Match winner | 1970 | 60.4% | −128.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 738 | 67.2% | −21.4u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 194 | 59.8% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 103 | 66.0% | −4.2u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3992 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Division 1
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Football · Ligue 2
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Football · Ligue 2
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
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Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Regional League. East
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· first seen 5h before
Football · Challenge League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Bundesliga
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· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
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· first seen 5h before
Football · Regional League. East
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Challenge League
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· first seen 5h before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Regional League. North-East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam vs DordrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 6-1 | WON |
| Den Bosch vs VitesseFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Nancy vs DunkerqueFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Clermont vs SochauxFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV | 4:3 | WON |
| Groningen vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| Oss vs Jong UtrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.72 · +6.2% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Rodez vs PauFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.65 · −7.3% CLV | 2:2 | LOST |
| Vikingur Gota vs HB TorshavnFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Kremser vs HornFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Kriens vs NyonnaisFootball · Challenge League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Austria Lustenau vs WSG TirolFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal TehranFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Donau vs FCM TraiskirchenFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.40 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Yverdon Sport vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyFootball · Challenge League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kapfenberg vs Blau Weiss LinzFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.28 · −5.2% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Fremad Amager vs ThistedFootball · 2 division | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Chemnitzer vs Carl Zeiss JenaFootball · Regional League. North-East | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.18 · +2.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ceramika CleopatraFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Gomel vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Lunds BK vs Olympic MalmoFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV | 7-1 | WON |
| Racing Santander vs ElcheFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Nykobing vs FC RoskildeFootball · 2 division | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.