Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3965
3964 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.5u
over 3964u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 741 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1495 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1510 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 204 | 71.1%65%–77% | −9.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
861
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.9u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2005 | 68.5% | −85.8u |
| Match winner | 1960 | 60.3% | −129.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 733 | 67.1% | −21.9u |
| Superleague | 336 | 61.3% | −40.0u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 103 | 66.0% | −4.2u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3965 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Hornchurch vs WokingFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.17 · −11.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hednesford Town vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| The New Saints vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Cardiff Metropolitan vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Aldershot Town vs Harrogate TownFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.88 · −9.6% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Altrincham vs Halifax TownFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Hartlepool United vs EastleighFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Alaves vs VillarrealFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Juvenes/Dogana vs FaetanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Cailungo vs SP DomagnanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.40 · +6.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| San Marino Academy vs FiorentinoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Rio Ave vs Sporting LisbonFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.32 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Folgore/Falciano vs MurataFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.10 · +4.8% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Galway vs ShelbourneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cobh Ramblers vs Longford TownFootball · Division 1 | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Cavese vs Audace CerignolaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Drogheda United vs FC DundalkFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Valletta vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pianese vs VadoFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Tenerife vs Sporting GijonFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Crystal Palace vs Manchester CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 1:4 | WON |
| Wrexham vs Birmingham CityFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Barletta vs BariFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Casarano vs GiuglianoFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
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