Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1:3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3958
3957 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−211.4u
over 3957u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 740 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1493 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1507 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 203 | 70.9%64%–77% | −9.4pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
854
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2004 | 68.6% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1954 | 60.4% | −126.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 334 | 61.1% | −40.8u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 103 | 66.0% | −4.2u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3958 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Quarter-finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · South Australia. Nation.Premier League. Semi-finals. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Liga MX
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga MX
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga MX
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 15m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1:3 | LOST |
| Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Resita vs CSA Steaua BucurestiFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Afumati vs Unirea SloboziaFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Metalul Buzau vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 2 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Broadmeadow Magic vs Weston BearsFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.80 · +1.7% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Cooma Tigers vs Canberra JuventusFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Quarter-finals | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide CityFootball · South Australia. Nation.Premier League. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Preston Lions vs Altona MagicFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.45 · −8.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Heidelberg United vs Bentleigh GreensFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Avondale vs Hume CityFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| St Albans Saints vs Dandenong ThunderFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong CityFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.42 · −4.1% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Kahibah vs FC New LambtonFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Tijuana vs Pumas UNAMFootball · Liga MX | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Sporting San Jose vs Inter San CarlosFootball · Premier Division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.50 · −4.5% CLV | 1:1 | WON |
| Suchitepequez vs Coban ImperialFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Union Magdalena vs Deportes QuindioFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Atlante vs LeonFootball · Liga MX | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.65 · −3.6% CLV | 1-1 | WON |
| Necaxa vs Cruz AzulFootball · Liga MX | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38from 3.55 · −1.4% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Boca Juniors vs LanusFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo CuencaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.35 · +4.4% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Washington Nationals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 15m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 9-2 | LOST |
| Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| New York Yankees vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.