Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 2m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Osijek vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Cambuur vs TwenteFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 1:4 | WON |
| Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar vs Al-Faisaly HarmahFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Flandria vs San Martin BurzacoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Atletico Mitre vs Central NorteFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Kifisia vs AEK AthensFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Rubin vs Dynamo MakhachkalaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Spartak Trnava vs ZilinaFootball · Superleague | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.75 · −3.8% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Al Jahra vs Al Arabi KuwaitFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga UlyanovskFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 11-1 | LOST |
| Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-6 | WON |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 7-0 | WON |
| Mallorca vs CeutaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Batumi vs SpaeriFootball · National League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.78 · +9.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| New York Yankees vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atlanta Braves vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Viktoria Koln vs Preussen MunsterFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 39m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs ValenciaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 39m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3:1 | LOST |
| Arezzo vs PalermoFootball · Serie B | first seen 9m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.05 · +1.5% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Lillestrom vs FredrikstadFootball · Superleague | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Atromitos Athens vs PAOKFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.