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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3944

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3945

3944 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−213.0u

over 3944u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73355.1%51%–59%51%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148962.3%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

841

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3944

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200068.5%−85.1u
Match winner194560.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3945 picks with a captured kickoff.

Hranice vs Unie Hlubina

Football · League 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Esteghlal Tehran vs Persepolis Tehran

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec Kralove

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

HSC Hannover vs Phonix Lubeck

Football · Regional League. North

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

HJS Akatemia vs Ilves Tampere 2

Football · League 3. Group B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-5

2026-09-02 · first seen 3h before

FA Povltavska vs Jiskra Domazlice

Football · League 3

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 3h before

Karvina 2 vs Frydek-Mistek

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad Khuzestan

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 3h before

Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Blansko vs Polanka nad Odrou

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Zob Ahan vs Paykan

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Vitkovice vs Unicov

Football · League 3

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.02 · −12.2% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Scottland Mabvuku vs Platinum

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Vanspor vs Batman Petrolspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Rakuten Monkeys vs Wei Chuan Dragons

Baseball · CPBL

Void

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Kiwoom Heroes vs SSG Landers

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-9

2026-09-02 · first seen 3h before

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Mito HollyHock vs Kashima Antlers

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.85 · +8.8% CLV
Score
4:2

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.98 · +20.0% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:2

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:3

2026-09-02 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Hranice vs Unie HlubinaFootball · League 32026-09-02first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-4LOST
Esteghlal Tehran vs Persepolis TehranFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-1WON
Zbrojovka Brno vs Hradec KraloveFootball · Superleague2026-09-02first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0WON
HSC Hannover vs Phonix LubeckFootball · Regional League. North2026-09-02first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-3LOST
HJS Akatemia vs Ilves Tampere 2Football · League 3. Group B2026-09-02first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-5WON
FA Povltavska vs Jiskra DomazliceFootball · League 32026-09-02first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV0-1WON
Karvina 2 vs Frydek-MistekFootball · League 32026-09-02first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-3WON
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad KhuzestanFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—2-0WON
Malavan vs Nassaji MazandaranFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1LOST
Blansko vs Polanka nad OdrouFootball · League 32026-09-02first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-1WON
Zob Ahan vs PaykanFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0LOST
Vitkovice vs UnicovFootball · League 32026-09-02first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.02 · −12.2% CLV3-1LOST
Scottland Mabvuku vs PlatinumFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Vanspor vs Batman PetrolsporFootball · League 12026-09-02first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-2WON
El Gounah vs Al MokawloonFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-1LOST
Rakuten Monkeys vs Wei Chuan DragonsBaseball · CPBL2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—0-0VOID
Kiwoom Heroes vs SSG LandersBaseball · KBO2026-09-02first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—6-9WON
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV3:0WON
Mito HollyHock vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.85 · +8.8% CLV4:2LOST
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2:0LOST
Shimizu S-Pulse vs TokyoFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.98 · +20.0% CLV1:1LOST
Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1:1WON
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2:2WON
JEF United vs Fagiano OkayamaFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-2WON
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2:3LOST

751–775 of 3945

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.