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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banaat vs Nasaf

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 4.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29 · tipped 5d 23h before

Frosinone vs Juventus

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Lost

Over 1.5Juventus Goals

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan Balazote

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Naestved BK vs VSK Aarhus

Football · 2 division

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Vittsjo GIK (w) vs IFK Norrkoping (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Void

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 6.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Football · Livebet

Void

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

PAOK Salonika vs SK Brann

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20*

PAOK Salonika vs SK Brann

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20*

Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield Rangers

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Football · Superleague

Void

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Football · League 1

Void

Home - CSKA SofiaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 4Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home -1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Banaat vs NasafFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 4.5Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League2026-08-29tipped 5d 23h beforeOver 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Frosinone vs JuventusFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-23*Over 1.5Juventus Goals2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan BalazoteFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2.5Goal Line2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——LOST
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 11st Half Goal Line2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——LOST
Naestved BK vs VSK AarhusFootball · 2 division2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Vittsjo GIK (w) vs IFK Norrkoping (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-08-23*Home 0.0Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——VOID
KuPS Kuopio vs IFK MariehamnFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 6.5Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home +1.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske VeseleFootball · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——VOID
Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Home -1Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——VOID
PAOK Salonika vs SK BrannFootball · Livebet2026-08-20*Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
PAOK Salonika vs SK BrannFootball · Livebet2026-08-20*Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield RangersFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——WON
Motor Lublin vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-16*Over 1Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Astra HFC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-16*HomeDraw No Bet2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——VOID
CSKA Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 12026-08-16*Home - CSKA SofiaHalf Time/Full Time2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——VOID
Sporting Cristal vs Sport HuancayoFootball · Premier League2026-08-16*Over 4Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

176–200 of 215

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