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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Void

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30 · tipped 20h before

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 22h before

ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
4.50+3507/23.50+3.50-0.29
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30 · tipped 19h before

GV San Jose vs Real Oruro

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28*

Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Lost

Over 1.5Norwich U21 Goals

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28*

Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28*

FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol Hostoun

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Haifa

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 51st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
0:7

2026-08-25*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-25*

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

America de Cali vs Junior Barranquilla

Football · Serie A

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

River Plate vs Independiente Santa Fe

Football · Round of 16. Second leg

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-27*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San CarlosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-30tipped 20h beforeOver 2Goal Line1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 22h beforeAway -0.5Asian Handicap2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
ASD Pineto Calcio vs LivornoFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*HomeDraw No Bet1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67——VOID
Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San CarlosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-30tipped 19h beforeYesBoth Teams To Score4.50+3507/23.50+3.50-0.29——LOST
GV San Jose vs Real OruroFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 5Goal Line1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-08-28*Home -1Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-08-28*Over 1.5Norwich U21 Goals2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-08-28*Home -1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol HostounFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——WON
Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty LvivFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48——LOST
Verl vs Fortuna CologneFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 1.5Goal Line2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi HaifaFootball · Premier League2026-08-25*Over 51st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80—0:7WON
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73—1:2LOST
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00—1:2VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87—2:1VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 2Goal Line1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85—2:1WON
Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—1:1LOST
Aldosivi vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Livebet2026-08-26*Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——WON
America de Cali vs Junior BarranquillaFootball · Serie A2026-08-26*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33——WON
River Plate vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Round of 16. Second leg2026-08-27*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44—1:1LOST
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

151–175 of 215

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