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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Deportivo Maipu vs CA Guemes

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Deportivo MaipuHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.88+18847/251.88+1.88-0.53
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-25*

Al-Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun Buraydah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - Al Qadisiya Al KhubarHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-24 · tipped 4d 2h before

Mainz (w) vs Wolfsburg (w)

Football · Women. Bundesliga

Won

Away - Wolfsburg (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Unam Pumas (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18*

Maccabi Bnei Reine vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Football · Liga Leumit

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-19 · tipped 2d before

Bijelo Brdo vs Orijent

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

Spartans FC vs Stranraer

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSE

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - MTK Budapest IIHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Benfica vs Guimaraes

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

Zemun vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

Football · Superleague

Won

Away - FK Zeleznicar PancevoHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-11*

FK Laktasi vs Omarska

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - FK LaktasiHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

Haka vs PK-35

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-09*

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Football · Cup. Second round

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-27 · tipped 18d before

Mlada Boleslav II vs Banik Most-Sous

Football · Livebet

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score In 1st Half

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

PEC Zwolle U19 vs Ajax U19

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10*

West Ham (w) vs Chelsea (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Won

Away - Chelsea (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Netherlands vs Serbia

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Green Bay Packers vs TB Buccaneers

Am.Football · Livebet

Lost

Money TB BuccaneersGame Lines

Tipster odds
4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

US Chaouia vs AS Khroub

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
0:0

2026-10-02*

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan

Football · Division C. Group stage

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-29*

Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)

Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg

Lost

Home - Czarni Sosnowiec (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-30*

Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)

Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-30*

Union Santa Fe (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Boca Juniors (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Slovan Liberec B vs Benatky Nad Jizerou

Football · Livebet

Won

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Pakistan vs Thailand

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - ThailandHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Deportivo Maipu vs CA GuemesFootball · Livebet2026-10-25*Home - Deportivo MaipuHalf Time/Full Time2.88+18847/251.88+1.88-0.53——WON
Al-Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League2026-10-24tipped 4d 2h beforeAway - Al Qadisiya Al KhubarHalf Time/Full Time2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——LOST
Mainz (w) vs Wolfsburg (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga2026-10-18*Away - Wolfsburg (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Unam Pumas (W) vs Atlas (W)Football · Livebet2026-10-18*Home - Unam Pumas (W)Half Time/Full Time1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Maccabi Bnei Reine vs Hapoel Rishon LezionFootball · Liga Leumit2026-10-19tipped 2d beforeYesBoth Teams To Score2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Bijelo Brdo vs OrijentFootball · Livebet2026-10-17*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Spartans FC vs StranraerFootball · Livebet2026-10-17*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSEFootball · Livebet2026-10-11*Home - MTK Budapest IIHalf Time/Full Time3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36——WON
Benfica vs GuimaraesFootball · Livebet2026-10-11*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Zemun vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague2026-10-11*Away - FK Zeleznicar PancevoHalf Time/Full Time2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——WON
FK Laktasi vs OmarskaFootball · Livebet2026-10-10*Home - FK LaktasiHalf Time/Full Time2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72——WON
Haka vs PK-35Football · Livebet2026-10-09*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder BremenFootball · Cup. Second round2026-10-27tipped 18d beforeHome YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Mlada Boleslav II vs Banik Most-SousFootball · Livebet2026-10-10*YesBoth Teams To Score In 1st Half2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——LOST
PEC Zwolle U19 vs Ajax U19Football · Livebet2026-10-10*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
West Ham (w) vs Chelsea (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-10-04*Away - Chelsea (W)Half Time/Full Time2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——WON
Netherlands vs SerbiaFootball · Livebet2026-10-04*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Green Bay Packers vs TB BuccaneersAm.Football · Livebet2026-10-04*Money TB BuccaneersGame Lines4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31——LOST
US Chaouia vs AS KhroubFootball · Livebet2026-10-02*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—0:0LOST
Slovakia vs KazakhstanFootball · Division C. Group stage2026-09-29*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——WON
Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg2026-09-30*Home - Czarni Sosnowiec (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg2026-09-30*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Union Santa Fe (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-27*Away - Boca Juniors (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Slovan Liberec B vs Benatky Nad JizerouFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73——WON
Pakistan vs ThailandFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Away - ThailandHalf Time/Full Time2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–25 of 64· 29 won / 34 lost · +5.5u · +8.4% yield · of 215 total

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