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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

38

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=89

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

104

89 graded · 15 void

Win rate

39.3%

95% CI 30%–50%

Profit

−21.6u

over 115u staked

Yield

−18.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L4

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 89

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±26.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3938.2%−15.2u
Unmapped2833.3%−4.0u
Asian over under1958.3%+3.4u
Over/Under1540.0%−4.7u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet6343.4%−7.6u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague5—+0.8u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U20. Women. Group stage2—−4.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 38h before kickoff — median over 13 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda Gradacac

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2.5Lille U19 Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

OH Leuven (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec (w)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Universitatea Alba Iulia vs ACS Viitorul Arad

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-04*

Philippines vs Iran

Basketball · Livebet

Lost

Away -1.5Game Lines

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 5.5Glasgow City (W) Goals

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGB

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Al Nasr SC U23 vs Al Ain SCC U23

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Leon U19 (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal B

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal B

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 3.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno

Football · Livebet

Void

HomeDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

GV San Jose vs Real Oruro

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol Hostoun

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home -0.5Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON
Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna DusseldorfFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda GradacacFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42——WON
Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 2.5Lille U19 Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
OH Leuven (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec (w)Football · Livebet2026-09-02*Away +0.5Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Universitatea Alba Iulia vs ACS Viitorul AradFootball · Livebet2026-09-04*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65——WON
Philippines vs IranBasketball · Livebet2026-08-30*Away -1.5Game Lines1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Over 5.5Glasgow City (W) Goals2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——WON
RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGBFootball · Livebet2026-08-30*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home -1Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Al Nasr SC U23 vs Al Ain SCC U23Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home +1.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Over 1Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——VOID
Leon U19 (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal BFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Home 0.0Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal BFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 3.5Goal Line5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22——LOST
ASD Pineto Calcio vs LivornoFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*HomeDraw No Bet1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67——VOID
GV San Jose vs Real OruroFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 5Goal Line1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol HostounFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–25 of 63· 23 won / 30 lost · −7.6u · −11.4% yield · of 104 total

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