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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare

Football · Superleague

Lost

Over 6Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18 · tipped 45h before

Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18 · tipped 45h before

Lazio vs Mantova

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923

Football · Livebet

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

NoBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away -1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi Beograd

Football · Superleague

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Nautico vs Atletico GO

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Over 2.5Braga Goals

Tipster odds
3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Pardubice U19 vs Teplice U19

Football · U19. Youth league

Void

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-12 · tipped 38h before

Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Football · Livebet

Won

Away +1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Flora Tallinn vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague2026-08-16*Over 6Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar SabaFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18tipped 45h beforeOver 1.5Goal Line2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar SabaFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18tipped 45h beforeAway 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Lazio vs MantovaFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923Football · Livebet2026-08-16*YesBoth Teams To Score1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)Football · Livebet—NoBoth Teams To Score1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Away -1.0Asian Handicap1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——LOST
Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague—Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Nautico vs Atletico GOFootball · Livebet—Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Over 2.5Braga Goals3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36——LOST
Pardubice U19 vs Teplice U19Football · U19. Youth league2026-08-12tipped 38h beforeOver 2Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——VOID
Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FCFootball · Livebet—Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer ShevaFootball · Livebet—Away +1Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
NK Celje vs Ararat ArmeniaFootball · Livebet—Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

201–215 of 215

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