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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3951

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3952

3951 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.9u

over 3951u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

848

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3951

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195160.5%−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.

Zhetysu vs Ordabasy

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Orgryte vs AIK

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Penafiel vs Portimonense

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 32m before

Levy Bereg Kiev vs Kudrovka

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 17m before

Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 17m before

Lokomotiv Leipzig vs Hertha 2 Berlin

Football · Regional League. North-East

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 17m before

Aarhus Fremad vs Koge

Football · 1st Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Kickers Offenbach vs Astoria Walldorf

Football · Regional League. South-West

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Paderborn 07-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Eintracht Trier vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz

Football · Regional League. South-West

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Kolos 2 Kovalivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

MSV Duisburg vs Meppen

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preussen Munster

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Rodinghausen vs Bonner

Football · Regional League. West

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Viktoria Koln vs Jahn Regensburg

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-5

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Sandhausen vs TSV Steinbach

Football · Regional League. South-West

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

TSV Havelse vs Stuttgart 2

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Ingolstadt 04 vs Wurzburger Kickers

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Honefoss vs Ullensaker/Kisa

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV
Score
9-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Zhetysu vs OrdabasyFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 47m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV0-4WON
Uruguay Montevideo vs PaysanduFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0WON
Orgryte vs AIKFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-4LOST
Penafiel vs PortimonenseFootball · Division 22026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1LOST
Radomiak Radom vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 32m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV1-3WON
Levy Bereg Kiev vs KudrovkaFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 17m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-0WON
Krylia Sovetov vs BaltikaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-08first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-2WON
Lokomotiv Leipzig vs Hertha 2 BerlinFootball · Regional League. North-East2026-08-08first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Aarhus Fremad vs KogeFootball · 1st Division2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—3-1WON
Kickers Offenbach vs Astoria WalldorfFootball · Regional League. South-West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1WON
Paderborn 07-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2Football · Regional League. West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-3LOST
Eintracht Trier vs Barockstadt Fulda-LehnerzFootball · Regional League. South-West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-1LOST
Kolos 2 Kovalivka vs Ahrobiznes VolochyskFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-2WON
MSV Duisburg vs MeppenFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preussen MunsterFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-3LOST
Rodinghausen vs BonnerFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-1WON
Viktoria Koln vs Jahn RegensburgFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-5WON
Sandhausen vs TSV SteinbachFootball · Regional League. South-West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-2WON
TSV Havelse vs Stuttgart 2Football · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-3WON
Maardu Linnameeskond vs ViimsiFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2LOST
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu RongchengFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0LOST
Ingolstadt 04 vs Wurzburger KickersFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV2-2LOST
Honefoss vs Ullensaker/KisaFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-08first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV9-1WON
Valerenga vs Bodo/GlimtFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Nanjing City vs Nantong ZhiyunFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-1WON

3676–3700 of 3952

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.