Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Basketball · NBL 1. Central. Final
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · NBL 1. East. Semi-finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · NBL 1. East. Semi-finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · NBL 1. South. Semi-finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · U19. Youth league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · NBL 1. South. Semi-finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 56m before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 41m before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 41m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Heidenheim vs OsnabruckFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Anyang vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan HyundaiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Bucheon 1995 vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Suzhou Dongwu vs Changchun YataiFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Qingdao Manatee vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Paju Frontier vs Suwon CityFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.67 · −1.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Magdeburg vs Eintracht BraunschweigFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV | 1-6 | LOST |
| South Adelaide Panthers vs Forestville EaglesBasketball · NBL 1. Central. Final | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 58-77 | LOST |
| Skanstes vs RezekneFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.35 · +10.7% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Marupes vs Leevon PPKFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano OkayamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-PulseFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Chaves vs Academica CoimbraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| St. George City vs Rockdale IlindenFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-9 | WON |
| Norths Bears vs Central Coast CrusadersBasketball · NBL 1. East. Semi-finals | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16derived | — | 94-80 | WON |
| Illawarra Hawks Waratah vs Sutherland SharksBasketball · NBL 1. East. Semi-finals | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 79-85 | LOST |
| Eltham Wildcats vs Nunawading SpectresBasketball · NBL 1. South. Semi-finals | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived | — | 91-89 | WON |
| Pardubice U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Melbourne Tigers vs Frankston BluesBasketball · NBL 1. South. Semi-finals | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 79-82 | LOST |
| Loko Prague vs Dukla 2 PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 41m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Mlada Boleslav 2 vs MFK HrudimFootball · League 3 | first seen 41m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 6-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.