Brackley Town vs Harborough Town
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3904
3903 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.8u
over 3903u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W3
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 720 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1478 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1491 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
800
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1981 | 68.6% | −83.9u |
| Match winner | 1923 | 60.5% | −125.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 726 | 67.2% | −20.9u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 187 | 59.4% | +16.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 77 | 63.6% | −5.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 67 | 52.2% | −14.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3904 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 35m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Southport vs HerefordFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.60 · +6.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Radcliffe vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| South Shields vs Spalding UnitedFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Harborough Town vs MarineFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Buxton vs Merthyr TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Spennymoor Town vs Hednesford TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.55 · +17.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Hednesford Town vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Buxton vs Hebburn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Radcliffe vs MorecambeFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.03 · +6.8% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Chester vs Spalding UnitedFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Macclesfield vs Brackley TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.82 · +10.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| South Shields vs Merthyr TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chorley vs Scarborough AthleticFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Worksop Town vs HerefordFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Harborough Town vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Spennymoor Town vs Oxford CityFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Southport vs Bedford TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Southport vs BuxtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Bedford Town vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Merthyr Town vs TelfordFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.45 · +6.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Oxford City vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Brackley Town vs Kings Lynn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.12 · −1.4% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Bedford Town vs BuxtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Spalding United vs MacclesfieldFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
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