Altrincham vs Southend United
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.63 · −7.9% CLV
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Virsliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.63 · −7.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Folkestone Invicta vs Walton & HershamFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Harrogate Town vs Solihull MoorsFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Ural vs UfaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Forest Green Rovers vs Halifax TownFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Hornchurch vs KidderminsterFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Oxford City vs Bedford TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Farnham Town vs TottonFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.92 · −0.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Stranraer vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hebburn Town vs SouthportFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Linfield vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Ross County vs MontroseFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.25 · −10.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Saint Mirren vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Kelty Hearts vs Stirling AlbionFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Truro City vs Maidenhead UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Fylde vs WealdstoneFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.95 · +7.1% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Airdrieonians vs East KilbrideFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Radcliffe vs Spalding UnitedFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Rapid 2 Vienna vs VoitsbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Vasas vs ZalaegerszegFootball · National League | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Puszcza Niepolomice vs Odra OpoleFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Torpedo-BelAZ vs Dynamo BrestFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000Football · Virsliga | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.75 · +12.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Encarnacion vs Guarani ParaguariFootball · Division 2 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.