Corinthians SP vs Fluminense RJ
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5d 1h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2d 10h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5d 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5d 1h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 48m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians SP vs Fluminense RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Deportes Tolima vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 5d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Alianza FC Valledupar vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Serie A | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Mirassol vs Botafogo RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Millonarios vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Atletico Mineiro vs ChapecoenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Once CaldasFootball · Serie A | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1:2 | LOST |
| International de Bogota vs Atletico NacionalFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.57 · −10.3% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Once Caldas vs Deportes TolimaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2d 10h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Boyaca Chico vs Alianza FC ValleduparFootball · Serie A | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.82 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| America de Cali vs Deportivo PastoFootball · Serie A | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.28 · +0.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Union La Calera vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.45 · −2.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Bahia vs Remo BelemFootball · Serie A | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.40 · −3.4% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Cucuta Deportivo vs MillonariosFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Mirassol vs Vitoria SalvadorFootball · Serie A | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| La Serena vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Colo Colo vs Deportes ConcepcionFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.37 · −0.7% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Santos SP vs CruzeiroFootball · Serie A | first seen 5d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.00 · +9.1% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Palestino vs Universidad CatolicaFootball · Serie A | first seen 5d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Chapecoense vs Internacional RSFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Cobresal vs Coquimbo UnidoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Nublense vs Everton VMFootball · Serie A | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Palmeiras SP vs Sao PauloFootball · Serie A | first seen 48m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.65 · +13.8% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
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