Scunthorpe United vs Yeovil Town
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United vs Yeovil TownFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Merthyr Town vs Hednesford TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Eastleigh vs GatesheadFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Queen of South vs PeterheadFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Woking vs Sutton UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Braintree Town vs Tonbridge AngelsFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 1.90 · −24.0% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Viking vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Boreham Wood vs TamworthFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.37 · −6.8% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Elgin City vs ForfarFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Njardvik vs IF VestriFootball · Division 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.47 · +6.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Hartlepool United vs BarrowFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Buxton vs HerefordFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kings Lynn Town vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Shinnik vs Arsenal TulaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Arbroath vs InvernessFootball · Championship | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Dungannon Swifts vs ColeraineFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Carlisle United vs WorthingFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Dundee vs AberdeenFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Dorking Wanderers vs Dagenham and RedbridgeFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Boston United vs Aldershot TownFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Telford vs Brackley TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Hamilton Academical vs Alloa AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Darlington vs Worksop TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Marine vs MacclesfieldFootball · National league. North | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.